Los Angeles will lead the United States marketplace for electric cars and are the cause of 1 from every 10 EVs bought in the city by 2015, according to a brand new study released from the UCLA Luskin Center for Innovation on Thursday, May 12, 2011.
The analysis, Realizing the Possible with the Los Angeles Electric Vehicle Market, used information from hybrid car registrations, "green" program voting results, a market survey by polling firm YouGov, plus a selection other sources to reach the estimate.
The study is part of yearlong collaboration with Los Angeles Mayor Antonio Villaraigosa's Office for Sustainability and Environment as well as the Clinton Climate Initiative.
"Los Angeles has revealed itself repeatedly being a leader in this business, and through this collaboration with UCLA, we now have further strengthened L.A.'s persistence for turn out to be the EV capital on the planet," said Mayor Villaraigosa.
According to the study, the electrical vehicle marketplace is one of the “fastest growing areas of green technologies.” Market investigation firms agree how the EV sector will gain marketplace share from conventional and hybrid vehicle sales in upcoming years, but their forecasts are speckled across an array of between five percent and 50 percent by 2020, according to the UCLA researchers.
230,000 EVs by 2020
One key locating from the study is the fact that electric car sales are estimated to make-up 9 percent of total auto sales in 2015 and 11.7 percent in 2020. The availability of electrical vehicles will likely be limited until 2013 or 2014, according to they, at which point it will improve to fulfill demand. In 2015, they predict Los Angeles homes will obtain an estimated 30,000 vehicles and by the finish of 2020, roughly 229,000 electric vehicles. That comes even close to the minute EV sales figures of just about 2,000 which are expected to be sold this season.
"For several buyers, electric cars are will likely be tough to ignore," said J.R. DeShazo, director with the Luskin Center as well as an associate professor of public policy. "However, the analysis predicts just about 2,000 electric vehicles is going to be purchased from Los Angeles in 2011. The dpi is due to the limited supply; even if more residents tend to obtain them, it really isn't feasible proper now."
The Los Angeles marketplace has many distinctive characteristics which will influence EV sales, such as a top ratio of multi-family housing apartments and renters, a higher ratio of latest and hybrid cars, as well as a commuter marketplace with limited public transit.